On July 14, 2026, coffee prices in Vietnam experienced a minor decline, with the average price settling at 96,000 VND per kilogram, which is a reduction of 200 VND compared to the previous update. In key production areas, prices were reported as follows: in Dak Lak, the price fell to 96,000 VND/kg; in Gia Lai, it also decreased to 96,000 VND/kg; and in Lam Dong, the price reached 95,500 VND/kg, marking the lowest in the surveyed regions. Meanwhile, Dak Nong recorded the highest purchasing price at 96,100 VND/kg, also down by 200 VND.

Despite this slight reduction, the overall price level remains relatively high, significantly above the 93,000 VND/kg mark noted earlier in July. The exchange rate for USD to VND, according to Vietcombank, was recorded at 26,040 VND/USD, reflecting a decrease of 10 VND.

On the international front, coffee prices also saw a collective decline on July 14, with both Robusta and Arabica varieties showing negative trends. In London, the September 2026 Robusta contract fell by 18 USD/ton, or 0.47%, to 3,834 USD/ton. During the session, this contract peaked at 3,907 USD/ton before retracting to 3,769 USD/ton, with a trading volume of 8,367 lots. The November 2026 Robusta contract decreased by 23 USD/ton, or 0.60%, to 3,796 USD/ton. Other contracts for January and March 2027 also saw reductions, reflecting a bearish market sentiment.

In New York, Arabica prices similarly declined across various contracts. The September 2026 Arabica contract dropped by 4.25 US cents/lb, or 1.27%, to 330.00 US cents/lb, while the December 2026 contract fell by 4.95 US cents/lb, or 1.57%, to 311.05 US cents/lb.

Market analysts suggest that the recent price adjustments in Vietnam are a response to global market pressures following a period of significant price fluctuations. The current price level indicates that the market has not returned to the lower ranges seen earlier this month, particularly as weather conditions, inventory levels, and supply sources remain under close observation.

From a global supply-demand perspective, the International Coffee Organization (ICO) reported that the composite price index for May 2026 averaged 256.05 US cents/lb, down 3.8% from the previous month, as the market reacted to improved supply prospects. In Brazil, the USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service forecasts that the coffee production for the 2026-2027 season could reach 66.7 million bags, an increase of 18% compared to 2025. This anticipated large harvest may exert downward pressure on Arabica prices in the medium term. Rabobank has also noted that Arabica is facing stronger downward pressure linked to expectations of increased supply from Brazil's upcoming coffee season.