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Australia vs Egypt: World Cup 2026 Knockout Preview

Australia vs Egypt: World Cup 2026 Knockout Preview

The upcoming match between Australia and Egypt in the knockout stage of the FIFA World Cup 2026 is generating significant interest, particularly as both teams navigate player injuries. Egypt's star player, Mohamed Salah, is a major doubt for the match due to a hamstring strain sustained during a recent game against Iran. His absence would be a considerable blow to the Pharaohs, who have relied heavily on his playmaking abilities throughout the tournament.

According to the Opta supercomputer, Egypt holds a slight edge as favorites, with a 39.7% chance of winning based on pre-match simulations. This match marks a critical moment for both teams, as Australia has previously struggled in knockout rounds, losing to eventual champions in their past two attempts. Their last knockout match saw them eliminated by Italy in 2006 and Argentina in 2022.

Australia's performance in the group stage has been inconsistent, managing only one win against Türkiye, followed by a loss to the United States and a goalless draw with Paraguay. The Socceroos have faced challenges in scoring, with their expected goals (xG) being notably low, indicating a need for improvement if they hope to advance past Egypt.

In addition to Salah, Egypt may also be without Ahmed Fatouh due to a hamstring tear, while Mohamed Abdelmonem is a doubt with an ankle injury. On the Australian side, injuries have sidelined full-back Jacob Italiano and midfielder Mathew Leckie, prompting coach Tony Popovic to adjust his lineup accordingly.

Historically, Australia and Egypt have faced each other only twice, with Australia winning once in a penalty shootout and Egypt claiming victory in a friendly match in 2010. The stakes are high as both teams aim for a place in the last 16, where they would likely face reigning champions Argentina.

The match is set to take place at Dallas Stadium, and with both teams eager to make their mark, fans can expect a tightly contested encounter. The Opta simulations suggest a close match, with Egypt having a 55.8% chance of progressing, while Australia stands at 44.2%. As the teams prepare for this pivotal clash, the absence of key players could prove decisive in determining the outcome.

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